Wells Fargo

Best Blogs of the Week #226

Posts from five different blogs in this week’s best. Some big picture (Wells Fargo), others making the case for professional money management implicitly (BlackRock), and others getting pretty technical, in the most helpful way (American Century).

American CenturyCIO Insights: Oversold Conditions Opened Select Opportunities in High-Yield – During the last five years, we’ve seen two distinct high-yield spread spikes associated with risk-off financial market trading. The first was in October 2011, during the European sovereign debt crisis, when spreads soared above 900 bps. The second was in February 2016, when spreads again approached 900 bps. These periods of spread widening were accompanied by corresponding bond price corrections. In the most recent occurrence, we believe too much worst-case scenario sentiment was priced into the high-yield market, given our analytical view that China will avoid an economic “hard landing” and the U.S. will avoid recession.

BlackRock3 themes that will shape markets this quarter – The investing takeaway of this third theme: Investors can no longer rely on a rising tide lifting all boats. Security selection is crucial as dispersion re-emerges in asset markets.

Wells FargoIn volatile times, a case for quality investing– We’ve explored how five different investment styles have performed during periods of high and low volatility throughout history: growth, momentum, value, minimum volatility, and quality.WisdomTree Chart

William BlairWhy We Remain Cautious in Emerging Market Currencies – … our analysis shows that fundamentally attractive currencies are predominantly in the emerging world and the unattractive currencies are predominantly in the developed world.

 

WisdomTreeDividend-Weighted Indexes Crush the Market in Q1 – I think there are three basic reasons why dividend stocks performed so well in the first quarter of 2016

Best Blogs of the Week #225

This week’s best blogs includes 2 from Russell and a Wells Fargo post. There’s interesting discussion of the pending DoL fiduciary changes, which is top of mind across most corners of the industry.

RussellToday’s ESG investing is not your father’s SRI – To many, ESG brings back memories of Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) – which has typically employed an exclusionary screening based on social issues rather than investment issues. For example, electing to divest or not invest in: “Sin stocks,” like alcohol, tobacco, or pornography; or South African companies during the Anti-Apartheid Movement (originally known as the Boycott Movement) of the ‘70s and ‘80s; or fossil fuels today.

Russell – How are advisors adapting to regulatory pressures in 2016? – The question we asked was simple: “To what degree do you see the DOL proposal impacting your business if it passes?” Surprisingly, the largest percentage of surveyed advisors (35%) said they anticipated only a slight impact from the proposed rule…

Wells FargoCan the Treasury market’s three-legged stool cope with two legs missing? –  In the final three months of 2015, foreign investors were net sellers of $50 billion of Treasury notes and bonds. China was selling a substantial amount to raise dollars needed to prevent its currency from falling precipitously (see chart below).

 

Wells Fargo Advantage Funds

Best Blogs of the Week #224

Three posts from different blogs this week covering emerging markets, pension plans and Valeant.

Lord AbbettThe Growth Investor: Lessons from the Valeant Struggle – The takeaway for growth investors is clear: the high-growth universe is full of big winners and big pretenders.

RussellThe pension plan herd has broken up – For me, the most striking feature is the divergence between the investment approaches. Once upon a time, pension plans paid a lot of attention to peer group comparisons.

Wells FargoFive reasons emerging markets assets have rebounded– Overall, we assess the developments in China as slightly positive for emerging markets near term. (Helpful chart re: Brazil below)

 

Source: Wells Fargo Advantage Voice

 

Best Blogs of the Week #219

Three blogs this week spanning wide ranging topics.

BlackRockWhy Investors Have Reason to Be Optimistic – Leading indicators still look okay. Much of this year’s selling has been driven by recession fears.

ColumbiaDo a grouch a favor – I believe that fair value for the S&P 500 is in the range of 1800 to 1850. That does not mean that pessimism won’t drive it lower. If it does, there will probably be a buying opportunity.

Wells FargoHow the price of oil could affect equities – In the recent past, oil and the stock market have moved in lock-step. Many on the equity side looked at petroleum as the canary in the coal mine that was sensing an economic slowdown and telling us just that, which I’m not sure was entirely right or wrong.

Best Blogs of the Week #216

Many asset managers are starting to acknowledge and blog about a potential global recession. Here are two of the better posts related to a global recession.

M & GWhat’s all this fuss about a recession? – If we’re sticking to the facts, this sell-off is way over-done. To make us worry that we are about to plunge into global recession we would have to hear more convincing explanations as to how the factors impacting asset prices are going to become net negatives for global growth.

Wells Fargo Worried about the market? These charts can help – So far in 2016, the daily return on the S&P 500 Index has been -2% or worse three times in the span of 12 days. For perspective, the stock market dropped that many times plus one for all of 2012. The average number of days the market drops 2% or more is five times per year.